THE IMPACT OF COVID-19 ON STOCK MARKET PERFORMANCE: EVIDENCE FROM TEN ASIAN COUNTRIES
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.33736/uraf.5247.2022Keywords:
Covid-19, Stock Market Performance, Asian CountriesAbstract
The purpose of this study is to examine the effect of COVID-19 on stock market performance from the aspects of stock price volatility and stock market risk in the top GDP10 Asian countries. The dependent variable has been used in this study, which is the stock price volatility and stock market risk, while the independent variable that has been involved in this research is confirmed cases and death cases from COVID-19. In addition, the control variables that will be taken into this study are gross domestic product (GDP) and exchange rate. The study is examined between January 1, 2020 and June 30, 2020. Data were all collected from the source Investing.com, Trading Economies, Worldometer and World Bank. The findings show a significant positive relationship between the impacts of Covid-19 confirmed cases on stock price volatility among the top 10 Asian Country. However, there is an insignificant relationship between the impacts of Covid-19 death cases on stock price volatility among the top 10 GDP Asian Country. Covid-19 confirmed cases and death cases are insignificant on stock market risks among the top 10 GDP Asian Country.
References
Al-Awadhi, A.M., Alsaifi, K., Al-Awadhi, A., & Alhammadi, S. (2020), "Death and contagious infectious diseases: impact of the COVID-19 virus on stock market returns", Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Vol. 27,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbef.2020.100326
Alfaro, L., Chari, A., Greenland, A.N. and Schott, P.K.2020. Aggregate and firm-level stock returns during pandemics in real time, CEPR Covid Economics Review, NBER Working Paper No. w26950. https://ssrn.com/abstract=3569414.
https://doi.org/10.3386/w26950
Alzyadati, J. M., & Asfoura, E. (2021). The Effect of COVID-19 Pandemic on Stock Market: An Empirical Study in Saudi Ara-bia. Journal of Asian Finance, Economics, and Business, 8(5), 913-921.
https://doi.org/10.13106/ jafeb.2021.vol8.no5.0913
Ashraf, B. N. (2020). Stock markets' reaction to COVID-19: cases or fatalities. Research In- ternational Business Finance, 54, 101249.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ribaf.2020.101249
Amihud, Y. (2002), "Illiquidity and stock returns: cross-section and time series effects", Journal of Financial Markets, Vol. 5, pp. 31-56.
https://doi.org/10.1016/S1386-4181(01)00024-6
Anjorin, AbdulAzeez, A. (2020). The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic: A review and an update on cases in Africa. Asian Pacific Journal of Tropical Medicine 13: 199.
https://doi.org/10.4103/1995-7645.281612
Baek, S., Mohanty, S. K., & Glambosky, M. (2020). COVID-19 and stock market volatility: An industry level analysis. Finance research letters, 37, 101748.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101748
Bai, Y., 2014. Cross-border sentiment: an empirical analysis on EU stock markets. Appl. Financ. Econ. 24, 259-290.
https://doi.org/10.1080/09603107.2013.864035
Chen, M.P., Lee, C.C., Lin, Y.H., Chen, W.Y., 2018. Did the S.A.R.S. epidemic weaken the integration of Asian stock markets? Evidence from smooth time-varying cointegration analysis. Econ. Res. 31, 908-926.
https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2018.1456354
Chundakkadan, Radeef., & Elizabeth Nedumparambil. (2021). "In search of COVID-19 and stock market behavior." Global Finance Journal: 100639.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gfj.2021.100639
Fernandes, N. (2020). Economic Effects of Coronavirus Outbreak (COVID-19) on the World Economy. Available online: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3557504 (accessed on 11 August 2020).
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3557504
Ftiti, Zied, Ameur, H.B., & Louhichi, L. (2021). "Does non-fundamental news related to COVID-19 matter for stock returns? Evidence from Shanghai stock market." Economic Modelling 99: 105484.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2021.03.003
Goodell, J.W., 2020. COVID-19 and finance: agendas for future research. Finance Res. Lett. 35, 101512. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101512.
Hamilton, J., Susmel, R., 1994. Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity and changes in regime. J. Econom. 64, 307-333.
https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-4076(94)90067-1
Gujarati, D. N., & Porter, D. C. (2009). Basic Econometrics (5th ed.). Boston: 77 McGraw-Hill Irwi
Hendershott, T., & Seasholes, M.S. (2014), "Liquidity provision and stock return predictability", Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 45, pp. 140-151
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.12.021
He, Q., Liu, J., Wang, S., & Yu, J. (2020). The impact of COVID-19 on stock markets. Economic and Political Studies, 8(3), 275-288.
https://doi.org/10.1080/20954816.2020.1757570
Heyden, K.J. and Heyden, T.2020. Market reactions to the arrival and containment of COVID-19: an event study. https://ssrn.com/abstract=3587497
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3587497
International Monetary Fund. (2020). A crisis like no other, an uncertain recovery. Retrieved from https://www.imf.org/en/Publica-tions/WEO/Issues/2020/06/24/WEOUpdateJune2020
Jiang, Y., Zhang, Y., Ma, C., Wang, Q., Xu, C., Donovan, C., & Sun, W. (2017), "H7N9 not only endanger human health but also hit stock marketing", Advances in Disease Control and Prevention, Vol. 2 No. 1, pp. 1-7
https://doi.org/10.25196/adcp201711
Khatatbeh, I. N., Hani, M. B., & Abu-Alfoul, M. N. (2020). The Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Global Stock Markets: An Event Study. International Journal of Eco- nomics and Business Administration Volume, 8(4), 505-514.
https://doi.org/10.35808/ijeba/602
Khan, Karamat, et al. "The impact of COVID-19 pandemic on stock markets: An empirical analysis of world major stock indices." The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics, and Business 7.7 (2020): 463-474.
https://doi.org/10.13106/jafeb.2020.vol7.no7.463
Kodres, L. (2020), "Brakes or bans: protecting financial markets during a pandemic", available at: https://voxeu.org/article/brakes-or-bans-protecting-financial-markets-during-pandemic (accessed 27 July 2020).
Liu, H., Manzoor, A., Wang, C., Zhang, L., & Manzoor, Z. (2020), "The COVID-19 outbreak and affected countries stock markets response", International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, Vol. 17 No. 8, p. 2800
https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph17082800
Liu, Y., Wei, Y., Wang, Q., & Liu, Y. (2022). International stock market risk contagion during the COVID-19 pandemic. Finance Research Letters, 45, 102145.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2021.102145
McKibbin, W.J., & Fernando, R. (2020), The Global Macroeconomic Impacts of COVID-19: Seven Scenarios (Working Paper No. 19/2020), CAMA Working Paper, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Canberra.
https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3547729
Mishra, P.K. (2020), "COVID-19, Black Swan events and the future of disaster risk management in India", Progress in Disaster Science, Vol. 8, p. 100137.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2020.100137
Nils H. Hakansson. (January, 1971). "Capital Growth and the Mean-Variance Approach to Portfolio Selection." Journal of Financial and Quantitatiue Analysis 6, 517-557.
https://doi.org/10.2307/2330126
Nguyen, C. T., Hai, P. T., & Nguyen, H. K. (2021). Stock market returns and liquidity during the COVID-19 outbreak: evidence from the financial services sector in Vietnam. Asian Journal of Economics and Banking.
https://doi.org/10.1108/AJEB-06-2021-0070
Onvista. (2020). MSCI World Index: Kurs, Chart News. Available online: https://www.onvista.de/index/MSCIWORLD-Index-3193857 (accessed on 1 July 2020).
Rahman, M. L., Amin, A., & Al Mamun, M. A. (2021). The CO- VID-19 outbreak and stock market reactions: Evidence from Austra- lia. Finance Research Letters, 38, 101832
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2020.101832
Roll, R., & Ross S.A. (1980, December). An Empirical Investigation of the Arbitrage Pricing Theory. The Journal of Finance, 35(5), 1073-1103.
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1980.tb02197.x
Sharpe, William F. (1964, September) "Capital asset prices: a theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk*." Journal of Finance, vol. 19, no. 3, 1964, pp. 425- 442
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1964.tb02865.x
Taleb, N.N. (2007), The black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable, Random House, New York, Vol. 2.
Wang, Y.H., Yang, F.J., Chen, L.J., 2013. An investor's perspective on infectious diseases and their influence on market behavior. J. Bus. Econ. Manage. 14, 112-127.
https://doi.org/10.3846/16111699.2012.711360
Xu, C., & Shiina, T. (2018). Market Risk Measures in Financial Investments. In Risk Management in Finance and Logistics (pp. 13-34). Springer, Singapore.
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-13-0317-3_2
Yong, J. N. C., Ziaei, S. M., & Szulczyk, K. R. (2021). The Impact of Covid-19 Pandemic on Stock Market Return Volatility: Evidence from Malaysia and Singapore. Asian Economic and Financial Review, 11(3), 191-204.
https://doi.org/10.18488/journal.aefr.2021.113.191.204
Yousfi, M., Zaied, Y. B., Cheikh, N. B., Lahouel, B. B., & Bouzgarrou, H. (2021). Effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on the US stock market and uncertainty: A comparative assessment between the first and second waves. Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 167, 120710.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2021.120710
Zhang, D., Hu, M., & Ji, Q. (2020), "Financial markets under the global pandemic of COVID-19", Finance Research Letters, In press, p. 101528
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright Transfer Statement for Journal
1) In signing this statement, the author(s) grant UNIMAS Publisher an exclusive license to publish their original research papers. The author(s) also grant UNIMAS Publisher permission to reproduce, recreate, translate, extract or summarize, and to distribute and display in any forms, formats, and media. The author(s) can reuse their papers in their future printed work without first requiring permission from UNIMAS Publisher, provided that the author(s) acknowledge and reference publication in the Journal.
2) For open access articles, the author(s) agree that their articles published under UNIMAS Publisher are distributed under the terms of the CC-BY-NC-SA (Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-Share Alike 4.0 International License) which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, for non-commercial purposes, provided the original work of the author(s) is properly cited.
3) For subscription articles, the author(s) agree that UNIMAS Publisher holds copyright, or an exclusive license to publish. Readers or users may view, download, print, and copy the content, for academic purposes, subject to the following conditions of use: (a) any reuse of materials is subject to permission from UNIMAS Publisher; (b) archived materials may only be used for academic research; (c) archived materials may not be used for commercial purposes, which include but not limited to monetary compensation by means of sale, resale, license, transfer of copyright, loan, etc.; and (d) archived materials may not be re-published in any part, either in print or online.
4) The author(s) is/are responsible to ensure his or her or their submitted work is original and does not infringe any existing copyright, trademark, patent, statutory right, or propriety right of others. Corresponding author(s) has (have) obtained permission from all co-authors prior to submission to the journal. Upon submission of the manuscript, the author(s) agree that no similar work has been or will be submitted or published elsewhere in any language. If submitted manuscript includes materials from others, the authors have obtained the permission from the copyright owners.
5) In signing this statement, the author(s) declare(s) that the researches in which they have conducted are in compliance with the current laws of the respective country and UNIMAS Journal Publication Ethics Policy. Any experimentation or research involving human or the use of animal samples must obtain approval from Human or Animal Ethics Committee in their respective institutions. The author(s) agree and understand that UNIMAS Publisher is not responsible for any compensational claims or failure caused by the author(s) in fulfilling the above-mentioned requirements. The author(s) must accept the responsibility for releasing their materials upon request by Chief Editor or UNIMAS Publisher.
6) The author(s) should have participated sufficiently in the work and ensured the appropriateness of the content of the article. The author(s) should also agree that he or she has no commercial attachments (e.g. patent or license arrangement, equity interest, consultancies, etc.) that might pose any conflict of interest with the submitted manuscript. The author(s) also agree to make any relevant materials and data available upon request by the editor or UNIMAS Publisher.