Speed of Adjustment towards Target Leverage in the ASEAN Countries

  • Meishan Chua Universiti Teknologi Mara, Universiti Putra Malaysia
  • Nazrul Hisyam Ab Razak Universiti Putra Malaysia
  • Annuar Md Nassir Xiamen University Malaysia
  • Mohamed Hisham Yahya Universiti Putra Malaysia
Keywords: Speed of adjustment, System Generalised Method of Moments (SYS-GMM), book value total debt, book value long-term debt, book value short-term debt, ASEAN

Abstract

This study aims to investigate the speed of adjustment towards target total debt, long-term debt and short-term debt of the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) namely Malaysia, Singapore, Indonesia and Thailand. The sample of this study included 400 publicly listed firms from 2007 to 2017. Analyses were done with two-step System Generalised Method of Moments (SYS-GMM). Using large sample, the results showed that ASEAN firms are under-adjusted and adjusting with the speed of 30.95%, 37.49% and 40.11% toward total debt, long-term debt and short-term debt, accordingly. To close half of the leverage gap, ASEAN firms need 1.87, 1.62 and 1.35 years for total debt, long-term debt and short-term debt, respectively. The results based on individual country indicated that each country has its own adjustment speed to achieve the target leverage. This study suggests that ASEAN firms are attempting to alter the leverage to its optimum.

References

Ahmad, R., & Etudaiye-Muhtar, O. F. (2017). Dynamic Model of Optimal Capital Structure: Evidence from Nigerian Listed Firms. Global Business Review, 18(3), 1–15. doi: 10.1177/0972150917692068

Amjed, S. (2016). Dynamics of Financial Structure Adjustments and Firms ’ Financial Performance (PhD Thesis) (University of Science & Technology, Islamabad). Retrieved from https://cust.edu.pk/static/uploads/2018/10/Sohail-Amjed.pdf

Antonczyk, R. C., & Salzmann, A. J. (2014). Overconfidence and Optimism: The Effect of National Culture on Capital Structure. Research in International Business and Finance, 31, 132–151. doi: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2013.06.005

Banerjee, S., Heshmati, A., & Wihlborg, C. (1999). The Dynamics of Capital Structure. In New York University-Salomon Center-Leonard N. Stern School of Business. Retrieved from https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/d963/73c220255e4d055d172f0ad7df58834982dc.pdf

Berglöf, E. (1990). Capital Structure as a Mechanism of Control: A Comparison of Financial Systems. London: Sage Publications.

Blundell, R., & Bond, S. (1998). Initial Conditions and Moment Restrictions in Dynamic Panel Data Models. Journal of Econometrics, 87(1), 115–143. doi: 10.1016/S0304-4076(98)00009-8

Buvanendra, S., Sridharan, P., & Thiyagarajan, S. (2017). Firm Characteristics, Corporate Governance and Capital Structure Adjustments: A Comparative Study of Listed Firms in Sri Lanka and India. IIMB Management Review, 29(4), 245–258. doi: 10.1016/j.iimb.2017.10.002

Chang, Y.-K., Chou, R. K., & Huang, T.-H. (2014). Corporate Governance and The Dynamics of Capital Structure: New Evidence. Journal of Banking & Finance, 48, 374–385. doi: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.04.026

Cheng, Y., & Green, C. J. (2008). Taxes and Capital Structure: A Study of European Companies. Ssrn. doi: 10.1111/j.1467-9957.2008.01082.x

Claessens, S., Djankov, S., & Lang, L. H. . (2000). The Separation of Ownership and Control in East Asian Corporations. Journal of Financial Economics, 58(1–2), 81–112. doi: 10.1016/S0304-405X(00)00067-2

Cook, D. O., & Tang, T. (2010). Macroeconomic Conditions and Capital Structure Adjustment Speed. Journal of Corporate Finance, 16(1), 73–87. doi: 10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2009.02.003

Dang, V. A., Kim, M., & Shin, Y. (2014). Asymmetric Adjustment toward Optimal Capital Structure: Evidence from A Crisis. International Review of Financial Analysis, 33, 226–242. doi: 10.1016/j.irfa.2014.02.013

Deesomsak, R., Paudyal, K., & Pescetto, G. (2004). The Determinants of Capital Structure: Evidence from The Asia Pacific Region. Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 14, 387–405. doi: 10.1016/j.mulfin.2004.03.001

Devos, E., Rahman, S., & Tsang, D. (2017). Debt Covenants and The Speed of Capital Structure Adjustment. Journal of Corporate Finance, 45, 1–18. doi: 10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2017.04.008

Driffield, N., Mahambare, V., & Pal, S. (2007). How does Ownership Structure affect Capital Structure and Firm Value? Economics of Transition, 15(3), 535–573. doi: 10.1111/j.1468-0351.2007.00291.x

Drobetz, W., Schilling, D. C., & Schroder, H. (2015). Heterogeneity in the Speed of Capital Structure Adjustment across Countries and over the Business Cycle. European Financial Management, 21(5), 936–973. doi: 10.1111/eufm.12048

Drobetz, W., & Wanzenried, G. (2006). What Determines the Speed of Adjustment to the Target Capital Structure? Applied Financial Economics, 16(13), 941–958. doi: 10.1080/09603100500426358

Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2002). Testing Trade-Off and Pecking Order Predictions About Dividends and Debt. The Review of Financial Studies, 15(1), 1–33. doi: 10.1093/rfs/15.1.1

Faulkender, M., Flannery, M. J., Watson, K., & Smith, J. M. (2012). Cash Flows and Leverage Adjustments. Journal of Financial Economics, 103, 632–646. doi: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2011.10.013

Fischer, E. O., Heinkel, R., & Zechner, J. (1989). Dynamic Capital Structure Choice : Theory and Tests. Journal of Finance, 44(1), 19–40. doi: 10.2307/2328273

Flannery, M. J., & Rangan, K. P. (2006). Partial Adjustment toward Target Capital Structures. Journal of Financial Economics, 79(3), 469–506. doi: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2005.03.004

Fosberg, R. H. (2012). Determinants of Short-Term Debt Financing. Research in Business and Economics Journal, 6(July), 1–12. Retrieved from https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/8e68/03f575f33e9fb3cd4cebd181fad2abe161cd.pdf

Frank, M. Z., & Goyal, V. K. (2009). Capital Structure Decisions: Which Factors Are Reliably Important? Financial Management, 38(1), 1–37. doi: 10.1111/j.1755-053X.2009.01026.x

Getzmann, A., Lang, S., & Spremann, K. (2014). Target Capital Structure and Adjustment Speed in Asia. Asia-Pacific Journal of Financial Studies, 43(1), 1–30. doi: 10.1111/ajfs.12038

Getzmann, A., Lang, S., & Spremann, K. (2015). Target Capital Structure Determinants and Speed of Adjustment Analysis to Address the Keynes-Hayek Debate. Journal of Reviews on Global Economics, 4, 225–241. doi: 10.6000/1929-7092.2015.04.23

Graham, J. R., & Harvey, C. R. (2001). The Theory and Practice of Corporate Finance: Evidence from the Field. Journal of Financial Economics, 60(2–3), 187–243. doi: 10.1016/S0304-405X(01)00044-7

Haron, R. (2014). Firms’ Speed of Adjustment and Rational Financing Behaviour: Malaysian Evidence. Journal for Global Business Advancement, 7(2), 151. doi: 10.1504/JGBA.2014.063869

Haron, R. (2016). Do Indonesian Firms Practice Target Capital Structure? A Dynamic Approach. Journal of Asia Business Studies, 10(3), 318–334. doi: 10.1108/JABS-07-2015-0100

Haron, R., Ibrahim, K., Nor, F. M., & Ibrahim, I. (2013a). Dynamic Adjustment towards Target Capital Structure: Thailand Evidence. Jurnal Pengurusan, 39, 73–82. Retrieved from https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/784b/9d309fcf05c4235c717c7e01a8ed83f226c6.pdf

Haron, R., Ibrahim, K., Nor, F. M., & Ibrahim, I. (2013b). Factors Affecting Speed of Adjustment to Target Leverage: Malaysia Evidence. Global Business Review, 14(2), 243–262. doi: 10.1177/0972150913477469

Jensen, M. C. (1986). Agency Costs of Free Cash Flow, Corporate Finance, and Takeovers. The American Economic Review, 76(2), 323–329. doi: 10.2307/1818789

Kane, A., Marcus, A. J., & McDonald, R. L. (1984). How Big is the Tax Advantage to Debt? The Journal of Finance, 39(3), 841–853. doi: 10.1111/j.1540-6261.1984.tb03678.x

Kasbi, S. (2009). Ownership Concentration and Capital Structure Adjustments. In Working Paper. Retrieved from http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.534.7538&rep= rep1&type=pdf

Lööf, H. (2004). Dynamic Optimal Capital Structure and Technical Change. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 15(4), 449–468. doi: 10.1016/j.strueco.2003.05.001

M’ng, J. C. P., Rahman, M., & Sannacy, S. (2017). The Determinants of Capital Structure: Evidence from Public Listed Companies in Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand. Cogent Economics & Finance, 5(1), 1–34. doi: 10.1080/23322039.2017.1418609

Matemilola, B. T., Bany-Ariffin, A. N., Azman-Saini, W. N. W., & Nassir, A. M. (2018). Does Top Managers’ Experience affect Firms’ Capital Structure? Research in International Business and Finance, 45, 488–498. doi: 10.1016/j.ribaf.2017.07.184

Mileva, E. (2007). Using Arellano-Bond Dynamic Panel GMM Estimators in Stata. Retrieved from https://www.researchgate.net/file.PostFileLoader.html?id=575fcb0a217e200cb31d2f1f&assetKey=AS%3A372807700631552%401465895690276

Myers, S. C. (1977). Determinants of Corporate Borrowing. Journal of Financial Economics, 5(2), 147–175. doi: 10.1016/0304-405X(77)90015-0

Myers, S. C., & Majluf, N. S. (1984). Corporate Financing and Investment Decisions when Firms have Information that Investors do not have. Journal of Financial Economics, 13(2), 187–221. doi: 10.1016/0304-405X(84)90023-0

Nejad, N. R., & Wasiuzzaman, S. (2015). Multilevel Determinants of Capital Structure: Evidence from Malaysia. Global Business Review, 16(2), 199–212. doi: 10.1177/0972150914564274

Nguyen, T. Van. (2015). Corporate Governance Structures and Financial Performance: A Comparative of Study of Publicly Listed Companies in Singapore and Vietnam (University of Waikato). Retrieved from https://researchcommons.waikato.ac.nz/bitstream/handle/ 10289/9437/thesis.pdf?sequence=3&isAllowed=y

Nor, F. M., Haron, R., Ibrahim, K., Ibrahim, I., & Alias, N. (2011). Determinants of Target Capital Structure: Evidence on South East Asia Countries. Journal of Business and Policy Research, 6(3), 39–61. Retrieved from http://irep.iium.edu.my/id/eprint/10181

Oztekin, O., & Flannery, M. J. (2012). Institutional Determinants of Capital Structure Adjustment Speeds. Journal of Financial Economics, 103(1), 88–112. doi:10.1016/j.jfineco.2011.08.014

Rashid, A. (2016). Does Risk affect Capital Structure Adjustments? The Journal of Risk Finance, 17(1), 80–92. doi:10.1108/JRF-06-2015-0060

Rehman, A. ur, Wang, M., & Yu, H. (2016). Dynamics of Financial Leverage across Firm Life Cycle in Chinese Firms: An Empirical Investigation using Dynamic Panel Data Model. China Finance and Economic Review, 4(1), 19. doi:10.1186/s40589-016-0041-z

Schröder, R. M., & Sosman, E. E. (2016). An Empirical Investigation of Dynamic Capital Structure Theories – Evidence from Europe (Master Thesis) (Copenhagen Business School). Retrieved from https://studenttheses.cbs.dk/bitstream/handle/10417/6188/Robin_Maximilian_ Schröder_Edward_Sosman.pdf?sequence=1

Soekarno, S., Kitri, M. L., & Utomo, S. (2015). The Speed of Adjustment to Capital Structure target before and after Financial Crisis: Evidence from Indonesian State Owned Enterprises. International Journal of Applied Business and Economic Research, 13(7), 5375–5387. Retrieved from https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Subiakto_Soekarno/publication /302209257_The_speed_of_adjustment_to_capital_structure_target_before_and_after_financial_crisis_Evidence_from_Indonesian_state_owned_enterprises/links/57a7390b08aefe6167bb4c16/The-speed-of

Soekarno, S., Kitri, M. L., & Utomo, S. (2016). Capital Structure Determinants and the Speed of Adjustment Towards Capital Structure Target: Evidence from Indonesian State-Owned Enterprises. International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance, 9(4), 388–400. doi: 10.1504/IJMEF.2016.080081

Thies, C., & Klock, M. (1992). Determinants of Capital Structure. Review of Financial Economics, 1(2), 40–52. Retrieved from doi: 10.1002/j.1873-5924.1992.tb00548.x

Ting, I. W. K. (2016). Estimating Dynamic Panel Model of Leverage Decision: Evidence from Malaysia. Procedia Economics and Finance, 35, 267–273. doi: 10.1016/S2212-5671(16)00033-2

Yakovlev, P. A. (2014). State Economic Prosperity and Taxation (No. 14–19). Retrieved from https://www.mercatus.org/system/files/Yakovlev-State-Economic-Prosperity.pdf

Yang, Y., Albaity, M., & Hassan, C. H. Bin. (2015). Dynamic Capital Structure in China: Determinants and Adjustment Speed. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 12(2), 195–204. Retrieved from https://businessperspectives.org/images/pdf/applications/ publishing/templates/article/assets/6783/imfi_en_2015_02cont_Yang.pdf

Yin, Q. E., & Ritter, J. R. (2019). The Speed of Adjustment to the Target Market Value Leverage is Slower Than You Think. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 1–66. doi: 10.1017/S0022109019000516

Zheka, V. (2010). The Impact of Corporate Governance Practices on Dynamic Adjustment of Capital Structure of Companies in Ukraine. In EERC Working Paper Series (No. 10/07E). Retrieved from http://eercnetwork.com/default/download/creater/working_papers/file/ 932e091c4ba9e72c5137a5a68fd6a9972ce557f3.pdf

Zhu, T. T. (2014). Capital Structure in Europe: Determinants, Market Timing and Speed of Adjustment (PhD Thesis) (University of Leicester). Retrieved from https://lra.le.ac.uk/bitstream/2381/33020/1/%21Tingting Zhu_Capital Structure in Europe.pdf

Published
2021-03-24
How to Cite
Meishan Chua, Nazrul Hisyam Ab Razak, Annuar Md Nassir, & Mohamed Hisham Yahya. (2021). Speed of Adjustment towards Target Leverage in the ASEAN Countries. International Journal of Business and Society, 22(1), 313-331. https://doi.org/10.33736/ijbs.3177.2021